Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 157.012304 183.907742 216.025275 257.800006 311.603929 3.798781e+02 475.291135
2025-02-23 121.000675 153.007265 195.758407 259.149376 354.781320 5.013037e+02 760.744728
2025-03-02 102.823971 136.459559 184.775805 263.182273 396.108909 6.331156e+02 1152.864315
2025-03-09 90.643134 124.726010 176.483214 266.737339 435.535405 7.807177e+02 1719.927236
2025-03-16 79.720764 112.568003 164.501365 260.078678 453.112530 8.956061e+02 2365.468083
2025-03-23 74.733730 108.545293 164.444391 273.844527 515.938617 1.157297e+03 3991.400076
2025-03-30 67.005478 98.944308 153.165754 263.331196 521.607573 1.275546e+03 5414.482056
2025-04-06 62.363975 93.812290 148.825055 265.533445 558.614481 1.525018e+03 8762.157014
2025-04-13 58.009537 88.612988 143.507863 264.345954 586.761545 1.778119e+03 14321.147659
2025-04-20 55.976397 87.186708 144.995218 278.536225 665.306149 2.350788e+03 35403.524255
2025-04-27 55.210494 87.897878 150.696698 304.191066 795.697537 3.469731e+03 195620.226254
2025-05-04 51.840645 83.430818 145.238832 300.722540 825.774809 4.072388e+03 905276.884995
2025-05-11 49.101492 80.187546 142.540275 305.781627 900.603926 5.385660e+03 NaN
2025-05-18 46.319829 76.628048 138.780534 307.497285 967.873622 7.085420e+03 NaN
2025-05-25 44.089606 73.895974 136.411623 312.608188 1057.435688 9.890794e+03 NaN
2025-06-01 42.053447 71.332025 134.033664 317.119621 1151.580215 1.416472e+04 NaN
2025-06-08 39.471430 67.420008 128.007499 308.674330 1170.889045 1.737947e+04 NaN
2025-06-15 38.551210 66.829497 129.752180 326.155667 1366.087932 3.340818e+04 NaN
2025-06-22 36.141593 62.916409 122.940031 312.797060 1349.906875 3.935813e+04 NaN
2025-06-29 34.726728 60.996080 120.832246 315.591226 1455.389420 6.633649e+04 NaN
2025-07-06 33.233669 58.787752 117.736869 314.084292 1530.909526 1.097554e+05 NaN
2025-07-13 32.677830 58.555346 119.656822 332.132910 1804.229740 4.541295e+05 NaN
2025-07-20 32.650902 59.477017 124.744986 364.985682 2312.510663 3.735146e+08 NaN